Rhamondre Stevenson vs Rico Dowdle
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
Start Rhamondre Stevenson this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.0 projected points (8.9 vs 7.9).
Rhamondre Stevenson faces LV, the 6th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Rico Dowdle faces IND, the 16th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Rhamondre Stevenson: a clear but modest edge of 10.5 points of value over replacement (5.9 vs -4.6).
The draft market agrees: Rhamondre Stevenson goes first at ADP 60.4 vs 76.6 for Rico Dowdle.
Health note: Rhamondre Stevenson carries an injury flag of Questionable (Undisclosed), which is already reflected in his projection.
Health note: Rico Dowdle carries an injury flag of Questionable (Toe), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Rhamondre StevensonNWE | Rico DowdlePIT | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | LV | IND | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 8.9 | 7.9 | Stevenson +1.0 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 30) | #6 | #16 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 142.5 | 132.0 | Stevenson +10.5 pts |
| Points per game | 8.4 | 7.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 5.9 | -4.6 | Stevenson +10.5 |
| Overall rank | #66 | #81 | Stevenson by 15 |
| Position rank | RB29 | RB31 | |
| Market ADP | 60.4 | 76.6 | Dowdle +16.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 5 | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 9 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | Questionable |
Should I start Rhamondre Stevenson or Rico Dowdle in Week 5?
Start Rhamondre Stevenson this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.0 projected points (8.9 vs 7.9).
Should I draft Rhamondre Stevenson or Rico Dowdle in 2026 fantasy football?
Rhamondre Stevenson. He projects 142.5 fantasy points with 5.9 value over replacement, vs 132.0 points and -4.6 for Rico Dowdle (RB, PPR).