Rico Dowdle vs Chuba Hubbard
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
RB30
Rico Dowdle
133.6
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
RB32
Chuba Hubbard
122.9
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Rico Dowdle: a clear but modest edge of 10.7 points of value over replacement (0.0 vs -10.7).
The draft market agrees: Rico Dowdle goes first at ADP 75.2 vs 81.2 for Chuba Hubbard.
Health note: Chuba Hubbard carries an injury flag of Questionable (Hamstring), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Rico DowdlePIT | Chuba HubbardCAR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 133.6 | 122.9 | Dowdle +10.7 pts |
| Points per game | 7.9 | 7.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 0.0 | -10.7 | Dowdle +10.7 |
| Overall rank | #71 | #83 | Dowdle by 12 |
| Position rank | RB30 | RB32 | |
| Market ADP | 75.2 | 81.2 | Hubbard +6.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 9 | 5 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I draft Rico Dowdle or Chuba Hubbard in 2026 fantasy football?
Rico Dowdle. He projects 133.6 fantasy points with 0.0 value over replacement, vs 122.9 points and -10.7 for Chuba Hubbard (RB, PPR).