Josh Jacobs vs Chuba Hubbard
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Josh Jacobs by 0.9 projected points (9.0 vs 8.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Josh Jacobs faces ATL, the 15th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Chuba Hubbard faces CLE, the 16th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Josh Jacobs: a clear but modest edge of 13.6 points of value over replacement (13.6 vs 0.0).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Chuba Hubbard first (ADP 77.7 vs 93.9). If the model is right, Josh Jacobs is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Josh JacobsGNB | Chuba HubbardCAR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | ATL | CLE | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 9.0 | 8.1 | Jacobs +0.9 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #15 | #16 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 150.2 | 136.6 | Jacobs +13.6 pts |
| Points per game | 8.8 | 8.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 13.6 | 0.0 | Jacobs +13.6 |
| Overall rank | #62 | #69 | Jacobs by 7 |
| Position rank | RB28 | RB29 | |
| Market ADP | 93.9 | 77.7 | Jacobs +16.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 5 |
Should I start Josh Jacobs or Chuba Hubbard in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Josh Jacobs by 0.9 projected points (9.0 vs 8.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Josh Jacobs or Chuba Hubbard in 2026 fantasy football?
Josh Jacobs. He projects 150.2 fantasy points with 13.6 value over replacement, vs 136.6 points and 0.0 for Chuba Hubbard (RB, PPR).