Josh Jacobs vs Tony Pollard
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
Start Josh Jacobs this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.9 projected points (9.0 vs 7.0).
Josh Jacobs faces ATL, the 15th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Tony Pollard faces NYG, the 31st-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Josh Jacobs: a clear but modest edge of 13.6 points of value over replacement (13.6 vs 0.0).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Tony Pollard first (ADP 69.7 vs 93.9). If the model is right, Josh Jacobs is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Josh JacobsGNB | Tony PollardTEN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | ATL | NYG | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 9.0 | 7.0 | Jacobs +1.9 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #15 | #31 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 150.2 | 136.6 | Jacobs +13.6 pts |
| Points per game | 8.8 | 8.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 13.6 | 0.0 | Jacobs +13.6 |
| Overall rank | #62 | #72 | Jacobs by 10 |
| Position rank | RB28 | RB30 | |
| Market ADP | 93.9 | 69.7 | Jacobs +24.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 6 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 9 |
Should I start Josh Jacobs or Tony Pollard in Week 3?
Start Josh Jacobs this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.9 projected points (9.0 vs 7.0).
Should I draft Josh Jacobs or Tony Pollard in 2026 fantasy football?
Josh Jacobs. He projects 150.2 fantasy points with 13.6 value over replacement, vs 136.6 points and 0.0 for Tony Pollard (RB, PPR).