Chuba Hubbard vs Tony Pollard
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
Start Chuba Hubbard this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.1 projected points (8.1 vs 7.0).
Chuba Hubbard faces CLE, the 16th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Tony Pollard faces NYG, the 31st-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Chuba Hubbard by 0.0 points of value over replacement (0.0 vs 0.0), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Tony Pollard first (ADP 69.7 vs 77.7). If the model is right, Chuba Hubbard is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Chuba HubbardCAR | Tony PollardTEN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | CLE | NYG | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 8.1 | 7.0 | Hubbard +1.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #16 | #31 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 136.6 | 136.6 | Even |
| Points per game | 8.0 | 8.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 0.0 | 0.0 | Even |
| Overall rank | #69 | #72 | Hubbard by 3 |
| Position rank | RB29 | RB30 | |
| Market ADP | 77.7 | 69.7 | Hubbard +8.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 6 | |
| Bye week | 5 | 9 |
Should I start Chuba Hubbard or Tony Pollard in Week 3?
Start Chuba Hubbard this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.1 projected points (8.1 vs 7.0).
Should I draft Chuba Hubbard or Tony Pollard in 2026 fantasy football?
Chuba Hubbard. He projects 136.6 fantasy points with 0.0 value over replacement, vs 136.6 points and 0.0 for Tony Pollard (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.