Jaylen Warren vs Tony Pollard
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
RB26
Jaylen Warren
149.4
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
RB29
Tony Pollard
136.6
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Jaylen Warren: a clear but modest edge of 12.8 points of value over replacement (15.9 vs 3.0).
The draft market agrees: Jaylen Warren goes first at ADP 59.0 vs 70.3 for Tony Pollard.
| Jaylen WarrenPIT | Tony PollardTEN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 149.4 | 136.6 | Warren +12.8 pts |
| Points per game | 8.8 | 8.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 15.9 | 3.0 | Warren +12.8 |
| Overall rank | #60 | #68 | Warren by 8 |
| Position rank | RB26 | RB29 | |
| Market ADP | 59.0 | 70.3 | Pollard +11.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 5 | Rd 6 | |
| Bye week | 9 | 9 |
Should I draft Jaylen Warren or Tony Pollard in 2026 fantasy football?
Jaylen Warren. He projects 149.4 fantasy points with 15.9 value over replacement, vs 136.6 points and 3.0 for Tony Pollard (RB, PPR).