Jaylen Warren vs Ashton Jeanty
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jaylen Warren by 0.7 projected points (16.7 vs 16.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Jaylen Warren faces TB, the 12th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Ashton Jeanty faces BUF, the 16th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Jaylen Warren: a clear but modest edge of 9.1 points of value over replacement (119.2 vs 110.1).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Ashton Jeanty first (ADP 21.0 vs 63.1). If the model is right, Jaylen Warren is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Jaylen WarrenPIT | Ashton JeantyLVR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | TB | BUF | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 16.7 | 16.0 | Warren +0.7 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 28) | #12 | #16 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 276.8 | 267.8 | Warren +9.1 pts |
| Points per game | 16.3 | 15.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 119.2 | 110.1 | Warren +9.1 |
| Overall rank | #12 | #15 | Warren by 3 |
| Position rank | RB10 | RB12 | |
| Market ADP | 63.1 | 21.0 | Warren +42.1 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 6 | Rd 2 | |
| Bye week | 9 | 13 |
Should I start Jaylen Warren or Ashton Jeanty in Week 6?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jaylen Warren by 0.7 projected points (16.7 vs 16.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Jaylen Warren or Ashton Jeanty in 2026 fantasy football?
Jaylen Warren. He projects 276.8 fantasy points with 119.2 value over replacement, vs 267.8 points and 110.1 for Ashton Jeanty (RB, PPR).