Jaylen Warren vs Bucky Irving
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
Start Jaylen Warren this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.9 projected points (16.7 vs 14.8).
Jaylen Warren faces TB, the 12th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Bucky Irving faces PIT, the 21st-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Jaylen Warren, and it isn't close: 16.6 points of value over replacement separate them (119.2 vs 102.6).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Bucky Irving first (ADP 46.2 vs 63.1). If the model is right, Jaylen Warren is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Jaylen WarrenPIT | Bucky IrvingTAM | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | TB | PIT | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 16.7 | 14.8 | Warren +1.9 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 28) | #12 | #21 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 276.8 | 260.3 | Warren +16.6 pts |
| Points per game | 16.3 | 15.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 119.2 | 102.6 | Warren +16.6 |
| Overall rank | #12 | #17 | Warren by 5 |
| Position rank | RB10 | RB13 | |
| Market ADP | 63.1 | 46.2 | Warren +16.9 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 6 | Rd 4 | |
| Bye week | 9 | 10 |
Should I start Jaylen Warren or Bucky Irving in Week 6?
Start Jaylen Warren this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.9 projected points (16.7 vs 14.8).
Should I draft Jaylen Warren or Bucky Irving in 2026 fantasy football?
Jaylen Warren. He projects 276.8 fantasy points with 119.2 value over replacement, vs 260.3 points and 102.6 for Bucky Irving (RB, PPR).