Derrick Henry vs Jaylen Warren
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Derrick Henry by 0.2 projected points (15.8 vs 15.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Derrick Henry faces LAC, the 17th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Jaylen Warren faces CIN, the 14th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Derrick Henry: a clear but modest edge of 7.6 points of value over replacement (124.4 vs 116.8).
The draft market agrees: Derrick Henry goes first at ADP 15.5 vs 63.1 for Jaylen Warren.
| Derrick HenryBAL | Jaylen WarrenPIT | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | LAC | CIN | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 15.8 | 15.6 | Henry +0.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 28) | #17 | #14 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 271.1 | 263.5 | Henry +7.6 pts |
| Points per game | 15.9 | 15.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 124.4 | 116.8 | Henry +7.6 |
| Overall rank | #13 | #15 | Henry by 2 |
| Position rank | RB11 | RB12 | |
| Market ADP | 15.5 | 63.1 | Warren +47.6 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 2 | Rd 6 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 9 |
Should I start Derrick Henry or Jaylen Warren in Week 10?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Derrick Henry by 0.2 projected points (15.8 vs 15.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Derrick Henry or Jaylen Warren in 2026 fantasy football?
Derrick Henry. He projects 271.1 fantasy points with 124.4 value over replacement, vs 263.5 points and 116.8 for Jaylen Warren (RB, PPR).