Derrick Henry vs D'Andre Swift
Who should you start in Week 7? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 7
Start Derrick Henry this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.9 projected points (19.7 vs 16.8).
Derrick Henry faces CIN, the 7th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. D'Andre Swift faces NE, the 18th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Derrick Henry, and it isn't close: 26.4 points of value over replacement separate them (155.4 vs 129.0).
The draft market agrees: Derrick Henry goes first at ADP 15.5 vs 42.4 for D'Andre Swift.
| Derrick HenryBAL | D'Andre SwiftCHI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 opponent | CIN | NE | |
| Projected Week 7 points | 19.7 | 16.8 | Henry +2.9 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 28) | #7 | #18 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 314.4 | 287.9 | Henry +26.4 pts |
| Points per game | 18.5 | 16.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 155.4 | 129.0 | Henry +26.4 |
| Overall rank | #7 | #11 | Henry by 4 |
| Position rank | RB7 | RB10 | |
| Market ADP | 15.5 | 42.4 | Swift +26.9 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 2 | Rd 4 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 10 |
Should I start Derrick Henry or D'Andre Swift in Week 7?
Start Derrick Henry this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.9 projected points (19.7 vs 16.8).
Should I draft Derrick Henry or D'Andre Swift in 2026 fantasy football?
Derrick Henry. He projects 314.4 fantasy points with 155.4 value over replacement, vs 287.9 points and 129.0 for D'Andre Swift (RB, PPR).