Derrick Henry vs Javonte Williams
Who should you start in Week 7? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 7
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Derrick Henry by 0.2 projected points (19.7 vs 19.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Derrick Henry faces CIN, the 7th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Javonte Williams faces PHI, the 1st-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Derrick Henry, and it isn't close: 20.2 points of value over replacement separate them (155.4 vs 135.2).
The draft market agrees: Derrick Henry goes first at ADP 15.5 vs 31.1 for Javonte Williams.
| Derrick HenryBAL | Javonte WilliamsDAL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 opponent | CIN | PHI | |
| Projected Week 7 points | 19.7 | 19.4 | Henry +0.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 28) | #7 | #1 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 314.4 | 294.1 | Henry +20.2 pts |
| Points per game | 18.5 | 17.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 155.4 | 135.2 | Henry +20.2 |
| Overall rank | #7 | #9 | Henry by 2 |
| Position rank | RB7 | RB9 | |
| Market ADP | 15.5 | 31.1 | Williams +15.6 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 2 | Rd 3 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 14 |
Should I start Derrick Henry or Javonte Williams in Week 7?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Derrick Henry by 0.2 projected points (19.7 vs 19.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Derrick Henry or Javonte Williams in 2026 fantasy football?
Derrick Henry. He projects 314.4 fantasy points with 155.4 value over replacement, vs 294.1 points and 135.2 for Javonte Williams (RB, PPR).