Derrick Henry vs Kyren Williams
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
RB11
Derrick Henry
217.2
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
RB14
Kyren Williams
203.3
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Derrick Henry: a clear but modest edge of 13.9 points of value over replacement (83.7 vs 69.7).
The draft market agrees: Derrick Henry goes first at ADP 16.9 vs 31.7 for Kyren Williams.
| Derrick HenryBAL | Kyren WilliamsLAR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 217.2 | 203.3 | Henry +13.9 pts |
| Points per game | 12.8 | 12.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 83.7 | 69.7 | Henry +13.9 |
| Overall rank | #16 | #22 | Henry by 6 |
| Position rank | RB11 | RB14 | |
| Market ADP | 16.9 | 31.7 | Williams +14.8 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 2 | Rd 3 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 11 |
Should I draft Derrick Henry or Kyren Williams in 2026 fantasy football?
Derrick Henry. He projects 217.2 fantasy points with 83.7 value over replacement, vs 203.3 points and 69.7 for Kyren Williams (RB, PPR).