Head to head · RB · 2026
Derrick Henry vs Kyren Williams
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Derrick Henry
The model takes Derrick Henry: a clear but modest edge of 5.9 points of value over replacement (76.0 vs 70.1).
The draft market agrees: Derrick Henry goes first at ADP 15.3 vs 32.5 for Kyren Williams.
| Derrick Henry | Kyren Williams | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team | BAL | LAR | |
| Overall rank | #18 | #20 | Henry by 2 |
| Position rank | RB13 | RB15 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 205.7 | 199.8 | Henry +5.9 pts |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 76.0 | 70.1 | Henry +5.9 |
| Market ADP | 15.3 | 32.5 | Williams +17.2 cheaper |
Should I draft Derrick Henry or Kyren Williams in 2026 fantasy football?
Derrick Henry. He projects 205.7 fantasy points with 76.0 value over replacement, vs 199.8 points and 70.1 for Kyren Williams (RB, PPR).