Derrick Henry vs Chuba Hubbard
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Chuba Hubbard by 0.1 projected points (15.9 vs 15.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Chuba Hubbard faces NO, the 11th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Derrick Henry faces LAC, the 17th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Derrick Henry ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 10, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Derrick Henry: a clear but modest edge of 10.9 points of value over replacement (124.4 vs 113.5).
The draft market agrees: Derrick Henry goes first at ADP 15.5 vs 77.7 for Chuba Hubbard.
| Derrick HenryBAL | Chuba HubbardCAR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | LAC | NO | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 15.8 | 15.9 | Hubbard +0.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 28) | #17 | #11 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 271.1 | 260.2 | Henry +10.9 pts |
| Points per game | 15.9 | 15.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 124.4 | 113.5 | Henry +10.9 |
| Overall rank | #13 | #16 | Henry by 3 |
| Position rank | RB11 | RB13 | |
| Market ADP | 15.5 | 77.7 | Hubbard +62.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 2 | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 5 |
Should I start Derrick Henry or Chuba Hubbard in Week 10?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Chuba Hubbard by 0.1 projected points (15.9 vs 15.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Derrick Henry or Chuba Hubbard in 2026 fantasy football?
Derrick Henry. He projects 271.1 fantasy points with 124.4 value over replacement, vs 260.2 points and 113.5 for Chuba Hubbard (RB, PPR).