Ashton Jeanty vs Derrick Henry
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
RB9
Ashton Jeanty
233.6
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
RB11
Derrick Henry
217.2
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Ashton Jeanty, and it isn't close: 16.4 points of value over replacement separate them (100.0 vs 83.7).
The draft market has them practically even (ADP 17.6 vs 17.4), so whichever falls to you is the pick.
Health note: Ashton Jeanty carries an injury flag of Questionable (Knee), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Ashton JeantyLVR | Derrick HenryBAL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 233.6 | 217.2 | Jeanty +16.4 pts |
| Points per game | 13.7 | 12.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 100.0 | 83.7 | Jeanty +16.4 |
| Overall rank | #13 | #16 | Jeanty by 3 |
| Position rank | RB9 | RB11 | |
| Market ADP | 17.6 | 17.4 | Even |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 2 | Rd 2 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 13 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I draft Ashton Jeanty or Derrick Henry in 2026 fantasy football?
Ashton Jeanty. He projects 233.6 fantasy points with 100.0 value over replacement, vs 217.2 points and 83.7 for Derrick Henry (RB, PPR).