Mike Evans vs Rome Odunze
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Mike Evans by 0.4 projected points (11.2 vs 10.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Mike Evans faces DEN, the 13th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Rome Odunze faces NYJ, the 15th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Mike Evans by 5.0 points of value over replacement (5.0 vs 0.0), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Rome Odunze first (ADP 54.4 vs 57.9). If the model is right, Mike Evans is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Mike Evans carries an injury flag of Out (Ribs), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Mike EvansSFO | Rome OdunzeCHI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | DEN | NYJ | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 11.2 | 10.7 | Evans +0.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #13 | #15 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 185.3 | 180.3 | Evans +5.0 pts |
| Points per game | 10.9 | 10.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 5.0 | 0.0 | Evans +5.0 |
| Overall rank | #68 | #71 | Evans by 3 |
| Position rank | WR25 | WR26 | |
| Market ADP | 57.9 | 54.4 | Evans +3.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 5 | Rd 5 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 10 | |
| Injury flag | Out | None |
Should I start Mike Evans or Rome Odunze in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Mike Evans by 0.4 projected points (11.2 vs 10.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Mike Evans or Rome Odunze in 2026 fantasy football?
Mike Evans. He projects 185.3 fantasy points with 5.0 value over replacement, vs 180.3 points and 0.0 for Rome Odunze (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.