Jaylen Waddle vs Rome Odunze
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Rome Odunze by 0.5 projected points (11.2 vs 10.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Rome Odunze faces GB, the 5th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Jaylen Waddle faces LAC, the 24th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Jaylen Waddle ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 5, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Jaylen Waddle: a clear but modest edge of 10.9 points of value over replacement (10.1 vs -0.9).
The draft market agrees: Jaylen Waddle goes first at ADP 44.1 vs 54.4 for Rome Odunze.
| Jaylen WaddleDEN | Rome OdunzeCHI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | LAC | GB | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 10.7 | 11.2 | Odunze +0.5 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 30) | #24 | #5 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 188.1 | 177.1 | Waddle +10.9 pts |
| Points per game | 11.1 | 10.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 10.1 | -0.9 | Waddle +10.9 |
| Overall rank | #63 | #74 | Waddle by 11 |
| Position rank | WR23 | WR26 | |
| Market ADP | 44.1 | 54.4 | Odunze +10.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 4 | Rd 5 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 10 |
Should I start Jaylen Waddle or Rome Odunze in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Rome Odunze by 0.5 projected points (11.2 vs 10.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Jaylen Waddle or Rome Odunze in 2026 fantasy football?
Jaylen Waddle. He projects 188.1 fantasy points with 10.1 value over replacement, vs 177.1 points and -0.9 for Rome Odunze (WR, PPR).