Jameson Williams vs Jaylen Waddle
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
Start Jameson Williams this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.3 projected points (13.0 vs 10.7).
Jameson Williams faces ARI, the 1st-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Jaylen Waddle faces LAC, the 24th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Jameson Williams by 3.9 points of value over replacement (14.0 vs 10.1), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Jaylen Waddle first (ADP 44.1 vs 45.4). If the model is right, Jameson Williams is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Jameson WilliamsDET | Jaylen WaddleDEN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | ARI | LAC | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 13.0 | 10.7 | Williams +2.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 30) | #1 | #24 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 192.0 | 188.1 | Williams +3.9 pts |
| Points per game | 11.3 | 11.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 14.0 | 10.1 | Williams +3.9 |
| Overall rank | #60 | #63 | Williams by 3 |
| Position rank | WR22 | WR23 | |
| Market ADP | 45.4 | 44.1 | Williams +1.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 4 | Rd 4 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 10 |
Should I start Jameson Williams or Jaylen Waddle in Week 5?
Start Jameson Williams this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.3 projected points (13.0 vs 10.7).
Should I draft Jameson Williams or Jaylen Waddle in 2026 fantasy football?
Jameson Williams. He projects 192.0 fantasy points with 14.0 value over replacement, vs 188.1 points and 10.1 for Jaylen Waddle (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.