Carnell Tate vs Rome Odunze
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
Start Rome Odunze this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.3 projected points (10.5 vs 9.2).
Rome Odunze faces PHI, the 15th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Carnell Tate faces NYG, the 30th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Carnell Tate ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 3, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Carnell Tate by 2.9 points of value over replacement (1.6 vs -1.3), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Rome Odunze first (ADP 54.4 vs 79.9). If the model is right, Carnell Tate is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Carnell TateTEN | Rome OdunzeCHI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | NYG | PHI | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 9.2 | 10.5 | Odunze +1.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #30 | #15 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 180.0 | 177.1 | Tate +2.9 pts |
| Points per game | 10.6 | 10.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 1.6 | -1.3 | Tate +2.9 |
| Overall rank | #68 | #74 | Tate by 6 |
| Position rank | WR24 | WR25 | |
| Market ADP | 79.9 | 54.4 | Tate +25.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 5 | |
| Bye week | 9 | 10 |
Should I start Carnell Tate or Rome Odunze in Week 3?
Start Rome Odunze this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.3 projected points (10.5 vs 9.2).
Should I draft Carnell Tate or Rome Odunze in 2026 fantasy football?
Carnell Tate. He projects 180.0 fantasy points with 1.6 value over replacement, vs 177.1 points and -1.3 for Rome Odunze (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.