Carnell Tate vs D.J. Moore
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
Start D.J. Moore this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.5 projected points (11.7 vs 9.2).
D.J. Moore faces LAC, the 2nd-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Carnell Tate faces NYG, the 30th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Carnell Tate ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 3, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Carnell Tate by 3.2 points of value over replacement (1.6 vs -1.6), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take D.J. Moore first (ADP 47.7 vs 79.9). If the model is right, Carnell Tate is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Carnell TateTEN | D.J. MooreBUF | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | NYG | LAC | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 9.2 | 11.7 | Moore +2.5 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #30 | #2 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 180.0 | 176.8 | Tate +3.2 pts |
| Points per game | 10.6 | 10.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 1.6 | -1.6 | Tate +3.2 |
| Overall rank | #68 | #75 | Tate by 7 |
| Position rank | WR24 | WR26 | |
| Market ADP | 79.9 | 47.7 | Tate +32.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 4 | |
| Bye week | 9 | 7 |
Should I start Carnell Tate or D.J. Moore in Week 3?
Start D.J. Moore this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.5 projected points (11.7 vs 9.2).
Should I draft Carnell Tate or D.J. Moore in 2026 fantasy football?
Carnell Tate. He projects 180.0 fantasy points with 1.6 value over replacement, vs 176.8 points and -1.6 for D.J. Moore (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.