Head to head · WR · 2026
Carnell Tate vs Mike Evans
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Carnell Tate
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Carnell Tate by 4.0 points of value over replacement (-17.2 vs -21.2), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Mike Evans first (ADP 49.2 vs 62.2). If the model is right, Carnell Tate is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Carnell Tate | Mike Evans | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team | TEN | SFO | |
| Overall rank | #99 | #105 | Tate by 6 |
| Position rank | WR37 | WR40 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 155.5 | 151.5 | Tate +4.0 pts |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -17.2 | -21.2 | Tate +4.0 |
| Market ADP | 62.2 | 49.2 | Tate +13.0 cheaper |
Should I draft Carnell Tate or Mike Evans in 2026 fantasy football?
Carnell Tate. He projects 155.5 fantasy points with -17.2 value over replacement, vs 151.5 points and -21.2 for Mike Evans (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.