Tucker Kraft vs Kyle Pitts
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tucker Kraft by 0.4 projected points (9.7 vs 9.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Tucker Kraft faces CHI, the 21st-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Kyle Pitts faces BAL, the 19th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Tucker Kraft: a clear but modest edge of 7.5 points of value over replacement (-10.0 vs -17.5).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Kyle Pitts first (ADP 80.8 vs 105.7). If the model is right, Tucker Kraft is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Tucker KraftGNB | Kyle PittsATL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | CHI | BAL | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 9.7 | 9.3 | Kraft +0.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 30) | #21 | #19 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 168.0 | 160.5 | Kraft +7.5 pts |
| Points per game | 9.9 | 9.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -10.0 | -17.5 | Kraft +7.5 |
| Overall rank | #85 | #94 | Kraft by 9 |
| Position rank | TE8 | TE9 | |
| Market ADP | 105.7 | 80.8 | Kraft +24.9 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 9 | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 11 |
Should I start Tucker Kraft or Kyle Pitts in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tucker Kraft by 0.4 projected points (9.7 vs 9.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Tucker Kraft or Kyle Pitts in 2026 fantasy football?
Tucker Kraft. He projects 168.0 fantasy points with -10.0 value over replacement, vs 160.5 points and -17.5 for Kyle Pitts (TE, PPR).