Tyler Shough vs Kirk Cousins
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tyler Shough by 0.8 projected points (17.4 vs 16.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Tyler Shough faces NYG, the 12th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Kirk Cousins faces BUF, the 17th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Tyler Shough: a clear but modest edge of 7.2 points of value over replacement (0.0 vs -7.2).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Tyler ShoughNOR | Kirk CousinsLVR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | NYG | BUF | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 17.4 | 16.6 | Shough +0.8 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 28) | #12 | #17 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 288.6 | 281.4 | Shough +7.2 pts |
| Points per game | 17.0 | 16.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 0.0 | -7.2 | Shough +7.2 |
| Overall rank | #72 | #83 | Shough by 11 |
| Position rank | QB12 | QB15 | |
| Market ADP | 137.8 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 12 | - | |
| Bye week | 8 | 13 |
Should I start Tyler Shough or Kirk Cousins in Week 6?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tyler Shough by 0.8 projected points (17.4 vs 16.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Tyler Shough or Kirk Cousins in 2026 fantasy football?
Tyler Shough. He projects 288.6 fantasy points with 0.0 value over replacement, vs 281.4 points and -7.2 for Kirk Cousins (QB, PPR).