Drake Maye vs Tyler Shough
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Drake Maye by 0.2 projected points (17.7 vs 17.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Drake Maye faces NYJ, the 14th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Tyler Shough faces NYG, the 12th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Drake Maye: a clear but modest edge of 5.7 points of value over replacement (5.7 vs 0.0).
The draft market agrees: Drake Maye goes first at ADP 51.8 vs 137.8 for Tyler Shough.
| Drake MayeNWE | Tyler ShoughNOR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | NYJ | NYG | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 17.7 | 17.4 | Maye +0.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 28) | #14 | #12 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 294.3 | 288.6 | Maye +5.7 pts |
| Points per game | 17.3 | 17.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 5.7 | 0.0 | Maye +5.7 |
| Overall rank | #64 | #72 | Maye by 8 |
| Position rank | QB10 | QB12 | |
| Market ADP | 51.8 | 137.8 | Shough +86.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 5 | Rd 12 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 8 |
Should I start Drake Maye or Tyler Shough in Week 6?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Drake Maye by 0.2 projected points (17.7 vs 17.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Drake Maye or Tyler Shough in 2026 fantasy football?
Drake Maye. He projects 294.3 fantasy points with 5.7 value over replacement, vs 288.6 points and 0.0 for Tyler Shough (QB, PPR).