Juwan Johnson vs Kyle Pitts
Who should you start in Week 7? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 7
Start Juwan Johnson this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.2 projected points (11.2 vs 10.0).
Juwan Johnson faces PIT, the 20th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Kyle Pitts faces SF, the 18th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Juwan Johnson, and it isn't close: 27.2 points of value over replacement separate them (4.4 vs -22.7).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Kyle Pitts first (ADP 80.8 vs 154.5). If the model is right, Juwan Johnson is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Juwan JohnsonNOR | Kyle PittsATL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 opponent | PIT | SF | |
| Projected Week 7 points | 11.2 | 10.0 | Johnson +1.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 28) | #20 | #18 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 196.7 | 169.6 | Johnson +27.2 pts |
| Points per game | 11.6 | 10.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 4.4 | -22.7 | Johnson +27.2 |
| Overall rank | #67 | #97 | Johnson by 30 |
| Position rank | TE7 | TE10 | |
| Market ADP | 154.5 | 80.8 | Johnson +73.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 11 |
Should I start Juwan Johnson or Kyle Pitts in Week 7?
Start Juwan Johnson this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.2 projected points (11.2 vs 10.0).
Should I draft Juwan Johnson or Kyle Pitts in 2026 fantasy football?
Juwan Johnson. He projects 196.7 fantasy points with 4.4 value over replacement, vs 169.6 points and -22.7 for Kyle Pitts (TE, PPR).