Juwan Johnson vs Tyler Warren
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Juwan Johnson this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.0 projected points (13.6 vs 12.5).
Juwan Johnson faces ATL, the 27th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Tyler Warren faces WAS, the 18th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Juwan Johnson, and it isn't close: 30.0 points of value over replacement separate them (49.0 vs 19.0).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Tyler Warren first (ADP 66.1 vs 154.5). If the model is right, Juwan Johnson is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Juwan JohnsonNOR | Tyler WarrenIND | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | ATL | WAS | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 13.6 | 12.5 | Johnson +1.0 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #27 | #18 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 246.6 | 216.5 | Johnson +30.0 pts |
| Points per game | 14.5 | 12.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 49.0 | 19.0 | Johnson +30.0 |
| Overall rank | #33 | #49 | Johnson by 16 |
| Position rank | TE4 | TE6 | |
| Market ADP | 154.5 | 66.1 | Johnson +88.4 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | Rd 6 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 13 |
Should I start Juwan Johnson or Tyler Warren in Week 4?
Start Juwan Johnson this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.0 projected points (13.6 vs 12.5).
Should I draft Juwan Johnson or Tyler Warren in 2026 fantasy football?
Juwan Johnson. He projects 246.6 fantasy points with 49.0 value over replacement, vs 216.5 points and 19.0 for Tyler Warren (TE, PPR).