George Kittle vs Juwan Johnson
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start George Kittle this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.1 projected points (14.7 vs 13.6).
George Kittle faces DEN, the 20th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Juwan Johnson faces ATL, the 27th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes George Kittle: a clear but modest edge of 9.9 points of value over replacement (58.9 vs 49.0).
The draft market agrees: George Kittle goes first at ADP 88.6 vs 154.5 for Juwan Johnson.
| George KittleSFO | Juwan JohnsonNOR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | DEN | ATL | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 14.7 | 13.6 | Kittle +1.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #20 | #27 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 256.5 | 246.6 | Kittle +9.9 pts |
| Points per game | 15.1 | 14.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 58.9 | 49.0 | Kittle +9.9 |
| Overall rank | #23 | #33 | Kittle by 10 |
| Position rank | TE2 | TE4 | |
| Market ADP | 88.6 | 154.5 | Johnson +65.9 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 13 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 8 |
Should I start George Kittle or Juwan Johnson in Week 4?
Start George Kittle this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.1 projected points (14.7 vs 13.6).
Should I draft George Kittle or Juwan Johnson in 2026 fantasy football?
George Kittle. He projects 256.5 fantasy points with 58.9 value over replacement, vs 246.6 points and 49.0 for Juwan Johnson (TE, PPR).