Brock Bowers vs Juwan Johnson
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Juwan Johnson by 0.3 projected points (13.6 vs 13.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Juwan Johnson faces ATL, the 27th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Brock Bowers faces KC, the 28th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Brock Bowers ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 4, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Brock Bowers by 0.3 points of value over replacement (49.3 vs 49.0), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Brock Bowers goes first at ADP 34.5 vs 154.5 for Juwan Johnson.
| Brock BowersLVR | Juwan JohnsonNOR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | KC | ATL | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 13.3 | 13.6 | Johnson +0.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #28 | #27 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 246.9 | 246.6 | Bowers +0.3 pts |
| Points per game | 14.5 | 14.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 49.3 | 49.0 | Bowers +0.3 |
| Overall rank | #32 | #33 | Bowers by 1 |
| Position rank | TE3 | TE4 | |
| Market ADP | 34.5 | 154.5 | Johnson +120.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 3 | Rd 13 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 8 |
Should I start Brock Bowers or Juwan Johnson in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Juwan Johnson by 0.3 projected points (13.6 vs 13.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Brock Bowers or Juwan Johnson in 2026 fantasy football?
Brock Bowers. He projects 246.9 fantasy points with 49.3 value over replacement, vs 246.6 points and 49.0 for Juwan Johnson (TE, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.