Brock Bowers vs Travis Kelce
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Travis Kelce this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.7 projected points (14.9 vs 13.3).
Travis Kelce faces LV, the 6th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Brock Bowers faces KC, the 28th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Brock Bowers ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 4, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Brock Bowers: a clear but modest edge of 11.8 points of value over replacement (49.3 vs 37.6).
The draft market agrees: Brock Bowers goes first at ADP 34.5 vs 108.5 for Travis Kelce.
| Brock BowersLVR | Travis KelceKAN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | KC | LV | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 13.3 | 14.9 | Kelce +1.7 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #28 | #6 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 246.9 | 235.1 | Bowers +11.8 pts |
| Points per game | 14.5 | 13.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 49.3 | 37.6 | Bowers +11.8 |
| Overall rank | #32 | #41 | Bowers by 9 |
| Position rank | TE3 | TE5 | |
| Market ADP | 34.5 | 108.5 | Kelce +74.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 3 | Rd 9 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 5 |
Should I start Brock Bowers or Travis Kelce in Week 4?
Start Travis Kelce this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.7 projected points (14.9 vs 13.3).
Should I draft Brock Bowers or Travis Kelce in 2026 fantasy football?
Brock Bowers. He projects 246.9 fantasy points with 49.3 value over replacement, vs 235.1 points and 37.6 for Travis Kelce (TE, PPR).