Juwan Johnson vs Tucker Kraft
Who should you start in Week 7? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 7
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tucker Kraft by 0.6 projected points (11.7 vs 11.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Tucker Kraft faces DET, the 2nd-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Juwan Johnson faces PIT, the 20th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Juwan Johnson ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 7, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Juwan Johnson, and it isn't close: 17.5 points of value over replacement separate them (4.4 vs -13.1).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Tucker Kraft first (ADP 105.7 vs 154.5). If the model is right, Juwan Johnson is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Juwan JohnsonNOR | Tucker KraftGNB | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 opponent | PIT | DET | |
| Projected Week 7 points | 11.2 | 11.7 | Kraft +0.6 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 28) | #20 | #2 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 196.7 | 179.2 | Johnson +17.5 pts |
| Points per game | 11.6 | 10.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 4.4 | -13.1 | Johnson +17.5 |
| Overall rank | #67 | #86 | Johnson by 19 |
| Position rank | TE7 | TE9 | |
| Market ADP | 154.5 | 105.7 | Johnson +48.8 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | Rd 9 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 11 |
Should I start Juwan Johnson or Tucker Kraft in Week 7?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tucker Kraft by 0.6 projected points (11.7 vs 11.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Juwan Johnson or Tucker Kraft in 2026 fantasy football?
Juwan Johnson. He projects 196.7 fantasy points with 4.4 value over replacement, vs 179.2 points and -13.1 for Tucker Kraft (TE, PPR).