Josh Downs vs Khalil Shakir
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Josh Downs by 0.2 projected points (9.5 vs 9.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Josh Downs faces ATL, the 4th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Khalil Shakir faces NYJ, the 1st-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Josh Downs: a clear but modest edge of 7.8 points of value over replacement (-31.2 vs -39.0).
The draft market agrees: Josh Downs goes first at ADP 94.8 vs 98.9 for Khalil Shakir.
| Josh DownsKAN | Khalil ShakirBUF | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | ATL | NYJ | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 9.5 | 9.3 | Downs +0.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 28) | #4 | #1 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 145.9 | 138.1 | Downs +7.8 pts |
| Points per game | 8.6 | 8.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -31.2 | -39.0 | Downs +7.8 |
| Overall rank | #111 | #118 | Downs by 7 |
| Position rank | WR38 | WR41 | |
| Market ADP | 94.8 | 98.9 | Shakir +4.1 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 9 | |
| Bye week | 5 | 7 |
Should I start Josh Downs or Khalil Shakir in Week 10?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Josh Downs by 0.2 projected points (9.5 vs 9.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Josh Downs or Khalil Shakir in 2026 fantasy football?
Josh Downs. He projects 145.9 fantasy points with -31.2 value over replacement, vs 138.1 points and -39.0 for Khalil Shakir (WR, PPR).