Head to head · WR · 2026
Josh Downs vs Khalil Shakir
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Josh Downs
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Josh Downs by 1.0 points of value over replacement (-36.4 vs -37.5), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Josh Downs goes first at ADP 91.7 vs 102.9 for Khalil Shakir.
| Josh Downs | Khalil Shakir | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team | IND | BUF | |
| Overall rank | #117 | #120 | Downs by 3 |
| Position rank | WR43 | WR46 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 143.5 | 142.5 | Downs +1.0 pts |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -36.4 | -37.5 | Downs +1.0 |
| Market ADP | 91.7 | 102.9 | Shakir +11.2 cheaper |
Should I draft Josh Downs or Khalil Shakir in 2026 fantasy football?
Josh Downs. He projects 143.5 fantasy points with -36.4 value over replacement, vs 142.5 points and -37.5 for Khalil Shakir (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.