Josh Downs vs Jakobi Meyers
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Josh Downs by 0.6 projected points (9.5 vs 8.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Josh Downs faces ATL, the 4th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Jakobi Meyers faces TEN, the 5th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Josh Downs: a clear but modest edge of 7.5 points of value over replacement (-31.2 vs -38.7).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Jakobi Meyers first (ADP 90.2 vs 94.8). If the model is right, Josh Downs is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Jakobi Meyers carries an injury flag of Questionable (Ankle), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Josh DownsKAN | Jakobi MeyersJAX | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | ATL | TEN | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 9.5 | 8.9 | Downs +0.6 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 28) | #4 | #5 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 145.9 | 138.4 | Downs +7.5 pts |
| Points per game | 8.6 | 8.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -31.2 | -38.7 | Downs +7.5 |
| Overall rank | #111 | #117 | Downs by 6 |
| Position rank | WR38 | WR40 | |
| Market ADP | 94.8 | 90.2 | Downs +4.6 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 8 | |
| Bye week | 5 | 7 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I start Josh Downs or Jakobi Meyers in Week 10?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Josh Downs by 0.6 projected points (9.5 vs 8.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Josh Downs or Jakobi Meyers in 2026 fantasy football?
Josh Downs. He projects 145.9 fantasy points with -31.2 value over replacement, vs 138.4 points and -38.7 for Jakobi Meyers (WR, PPR).