Jaylen Waddle vs Josh Downs
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
Start Josh Downs this week: Jaylen Waddle is on bye in Week 10.
Josh Downs gets ATL, the 4th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week, projecting 9.5 points.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Jaylen Waddle by 0.1 points of value over replacement (-31.1 vs -31.2), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Jaylen Waddle goes first at ADP 44.1 vs 94.8 for Josh Downs.
Health note: Jaylen Waddle carries an injury flag of Out (Head), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Jaylen WaddleDEN | Josh DownsKAN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | Bye | ATL | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 0.0 | 9.5 | Downs +9.5 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 28) | - | #4 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 146.0 | 145.9 | Waddle +0.1 pts |
| Points per game | 8.6 | 8.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -31.1 | -31.2 | Waddle +0.1 |
| Overall rank | #110 | #111 | Waddle by 1 |
| Position rank | WR37 | WR38 | |
| Market ADP | 44.1 | 94.8 | Downs +50.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 4 | Rd 8 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 5 | |
| Injury flag | Out | None |
Should I start Jaylen Waddle or Josh Downs in Week 10?
Start Josh Downs this week: Jaylen Waddle is on bye in Week 10.
Should I draft Jaylen Waddle or Josh Downs in 2026 fantasy football?
Jaylen Waddle. He projects 146.0 fantasy points with -31.1 value over replacement, vs 145.9 points and -31.2 for Josh Downs (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.