Head to head · WR · 2026
Jordan Addison vs Josh Downs
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean — refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Jordan Addison
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Jordan Addison by 0.5 points of value over replacement (-28.7 vs -29.2) — close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way — drafters take Josh Downs first (ADP 85.4 vs 92.9). If the model is right, Jordan Addison is the value pick: the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Jordan Addison | Josh Downs | |
|---|---|---|
| Team | MIN | IND |
| Overall rank | #110 | #112 |
| Position rank | WR41 | WR43 |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 144.0 | 143.5 |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -28.7 | -29.2 |
| Market ADP | 92.9 | 85.4 |
Should I draft Jordan Addison or Josh Downs in 2026 fantasy football?
Jordan Addison. He projects 144.0 fantasy points with -28.7 value over replacement, vs 143.5 points and -29.2 for Josh Downs (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.