Jordan Addison vs Josh Downs
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Jordan Addison by 0.6 points of value over replacement (-28.6 vs -29.2), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Josh Downs first (ADP 85.9 vs 97.4). If the model is right, Jordan Addison is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Jordan AddisonMIN | Josh DownsIND | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 144.1 | 143.5 | Addison +0.6 pts |
| Points per game | 8.5 | 8.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -28.6 | -29.2 | Addison +0.6 |
| Overall rank | #110 | #111 | Addison by 1 |
| Position rank | WR41 | WR42 | |
| Market ADP | 97.4 | 85.9 | Addison +11.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 9 | Rd 8 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 13 |
Should I draft Jordan Addison or Josh Downs in 2026 fantasy football?
Jordan Addison. He projects 144.1 fantasy points with -28.6 value over replacement, vs 143.5 points and -29.2 for Josh Downs (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.