Josh Downs vs Jordan Addison
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Josh Downs by 0.6 projected points (9.5 vs 8.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Josh Downs faces PIT, the 6th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Jordan Addison faces NO, the 18th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Josh Downs by 1.5 points of value over replacement (-27.8 vs -29.3), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Josh Downs goes first at ADP 94.8 vs 96.5 for Jordan Addison.
Health note: Jordan Addison carries an injury flag of Questionable (Hamstring), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Josh DownsIND | Jordan AddisonMIN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | PIT | NO | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 9.5 | 8.9 | Downs +0.6 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 30) | #6 | #18 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 150.2 | 148.7 | Downs +1.5 pts |
| Points per game | 8.8 | 8.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -27.8 | -29.3 | Downs +1.5 |
| Overall rank | #101 | #103 | Downs by 2 |
| Position rank | WR41 | WR42 | |
| Market ADP | 94.8 | 96.5 | Addison +1.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 8 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 6 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I start Josh Downs or Jordan Addison in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Josh Downs by 0.6 projected points (9.5 vs 8.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Josh Downs or Jordan Addison in 2026 fantasy football?
Josh Downs. He projects 150.2 fantasy points with -27.8 value over replacement, vs 148.7 points and -29.3 for Jordan Addison (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.