Head to head · WR · 2026
Michael Pittman Jr. vs Josh Downs
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Michael Pittman Jr.
The model takes Michael Pittman Jr.: a clear but modest edge of 9.7 points of value over replacement (-19.5 vs -29.2).
The draft market agrees: Michael Pittman Jr. goes first at ADP 70.6 vs 85.9 for Josh Downs.
| Michael Pittman Jr. | Josh Downs | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team | PIT | IND | |
| Overall rank | #102 | #111 | Jr. by 9 |
| Position rank | WR39 | WR42 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 153.3 | 143.5 | Jr. +9.7 pts |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -19.5 | -29.2 | Jr. +9.7 |
| Market ADP | 70.6 | 85.9 | Downs +15.3 cheaper |
Should I draft Michael Pittman Jr. or Josh Downs in 2026 fantasy football?
Michael Pittman Jr.. He projects 153.3 fantasy points with -19.5 value over replacement, vs 143.5 points and -29.2 for Josh Downs (WR, PPR).