Head to head · WR · 2026
Mike Evans vs Josh Downs
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Mike Evans
The model takes Mike Evans: a clear but modest edge of 8.0 points of value over replacement (-28.5 vs -36.4).
The draft market agrees: Mike Evans goes first at ADP 50.9 vs 85.6 for Josh Downs.
| Mike Evans | Josh Downs | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team | SFO | IND | |
| Overall rank | #109 | #117 | Evans by 8 |
| Position rank | WR40 | WR42 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 151.5 | 143.5 | Evans +8.0 pts |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -28.5 | -36.4 | Evans +8.0 |
| Market ADP | 50.9 | 85.6 | Downs +34.7 cheaper |
Should I draft Mike Evans or Josh Downs in 2026 fantasy football?
Mike Evans. He projects 151.5 fantasy points with -28.5 value over replacement, vs 143.5 points and -36.4 for Josh Downs (WR, PPR).