Mike Evans vs Josh Downs
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
Start Mike Evans this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.8 projected points (10.4 vs 8.5).
Mike Evans faces WAS, the 2nd-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Josh Downs faces TEN, the 24th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Mike Evans: a clear but modest edge of 5.4 points of value over replacement (-22.9 vs -28.3).
The draft market agrees: Mike Evans goes first at ADP 57.9 vs 94.8 for Josh Downs.
| Mike EvansSFO | Josh DownsIND | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | WAS | TEN | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 10.4 | 8.5 | Evans +1.8 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 28) | #2 | #24 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 155.6 | 150.2 | Evans +5.4 pts |
| Points per game | 9.2 | 8.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -22.9 | -28.3 | Evans +5.4 |
| Overall rank | #98 | #102 | Evans by 4 |
| Position rank | WR40 | WR42 | |
| Market ADP | 57.9 | 94.8 | Downs +36.9 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 5 | Rd 8 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 13 |
Should I start Mike Evans or Josh Downs in Week 6?
Start Mike Evans this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.8 projected points (10.4 vs 8.5).
Should I draft Mike Evans or Josh Downs in 2026 fantasy football?
Mike Evans. He projects 155.6 fantasy points with -22.9 value over replacement, vs 150.2 points and -28.3 for Josh Downs (WR, PPR).