Mike Evans vs Josh Downs
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The call
The model takes Mike Evans: a clear but modest edge of 7.2 points of value over replacement (-22.8 vs -30.0).
The draft market agrees: Mike Evans goes first at ADP 55.2 vs 88.9 for Josh Downs.
Health note: Mike Evans carries an injury flag of Questionable (Foot), which is already reflected in his projection.
Health note: Josh Downs carries an injury flag of Questionable (Undisclosed), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Mike EvansSFO | Josh DownsIND | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 155.2 | 148.0 | Evans +7.2 pts |
| Points per game | 9.1 | 8.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -22.8 | -30.0 | Evans +7.2 |
| Overall rank | #105 | #110 | Evans by 5 |
| Position rank | WR40 | WR42 | |
| Market ADP | 55.2 | 88.9 | Downs +33.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 5 | Rd 8 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 13 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | Questionable |
Should I draft Mike Evans or Josh Downs in 2026 fantasy football?
Mike Evans. He projects 155.2 fantasy points with -22.8 value over replacement, vs 148.0 points and -30.0 for Josh Downs (WR, PPR).