Carnell Tate vs Josh Downs
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
WR39
Carnell Tate
155.5
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
WR42
Josh Downs
148.0
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Carnell Tate: a clear but modest edge of 7.5 points of value over replacement (-22.5 vs -30.0).
The draft market agrees: Carnell Tate goes first at ADP 79.8 vs 88.9 for Josh Downs.
Health note: Josh Downs carries an injury flag of Questionable (Undisclosed), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Carnell TateTEN | Josh DownsIND | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 155.5 | 148.0 | Tate +7.5 pts |
| Points per game | 9.1 | 8.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -22.5 | -30.0 | Tate +7.5 |
| Overall rank | #104 | #110 | Tate by 6 |
| Position rank | WR39 | WR42 | |
| Market ADP | 79.8 | 88.9 | Downs +9.1 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 8 | |
| Bye week | 9 | 13 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I draft Carnell Tate or Josh Downs in 2026 fantasy football?
Carnell Tate. He projects 155.5 fantasy points with -22.5 value over replacement, vs 148.0 points and -30.0 for Josh Downs (WR, PPR).