Quentin Johnston vs Carnell Tate
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Carnell Tate by 0.1 projected points (9.2 vs 9.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Carnell Tate faces JAX, the 14th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Quentin Johnston faces BAL, the 17th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Quentin Johnston ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 10, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Quentin Johnston by 0.6 points of value over replacement (-21.0 vs -21.6), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Carnell Tate first (ADP 79.9 vs 91.1). If the model is right, Quentin Johnston is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Carnell Tate carries an injury flag of Questionable (Shoulder), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Quentin JohnstonLAC | Carnell TateTEN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | BAL | JAX | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 9.2 | 9.2 | Tate +0.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 28) | #17 | #14 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 156.1 | 155.5 | Johnston +0.6 pts |
| Points per game | 9.2 | 9.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -21.0 | -21.6 | Johnston +0.6 |
| Overall rank | #94 | #96 | Johnston by 2 |
| Position rank | WR33 | WR35 | |
| Market ADP | 91.1 | 79.9 | Johnston +11.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 9 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I start Quentin Johnston or Carnell Tate in Week 10?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Carnell Tate by 0.1 projected points (9.2 vs 9.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Quentin Johnston or Carnell Tate in 2026 fantasy football?
Quentin Johnston. He projects 156.1 fantasy points with -21.0 value over replacement, vs 155.5 points and -21.6 for Carnell Tate (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.