Carnell Tate vs Quentin Johnston
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Carnell Tate by 2.0 points of value over replacement (-17.2 vs -19.2), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Carnell Tate goes first at ADP 77.3 vs 96.3 for Quentin Johnston.
Health note: Quentin Johnston carries an injury flag of Questionable (Lower Body), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Carnell TateTEN | Quentin JohnstonLAC | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 155.5 | 153.5 | Tate +2.0 pts |
| Points per game | 9.1 | 9.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -17.2 | -19.2 | Tate +2.0 |
| Overall rank | #99 | #101 | Tate by 2 |
| Position rank | WR37 | WR38 | |
| Market ADP | 77.3 | 96.3 | Johnston +19.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 8 | |
| Bye week | 9 | 7 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I draft Carnell Tate or Quentin Johnston in 2026 fantasy football?
Carnell Tate. He projects 155.5 fantasy points with -17.2 value over replacement, vs 153.5 points and -19.2 for Quentin Johnston (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.