Quentin Johnston vs Mike Evans
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Quentin Johnston by 2.0 points of value over replacement (-19.2 vs -21.2), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Mike Evans first (ADP 54.3 vs 96.3). If the model is right, Quentin Johnston is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Quentin Johnston carries an injury flag of Questionable (Lower Body), which is already reflected in his projection.
Health note: Mike Evans carries an injury flag of Questionable (Foot), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Quentin JohnstonLAC | Mike EvansSFO | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 153.5 | 151.5 | Johnston +2.0 pts |
| Points per game | 9.0 | 8.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -19.2 | -21.2 | Johnston +2.0 |
| Overall rank | #101 | #105 | Johnston by 4 |
| Position rank | WR38 | WR40 | |
| Market ADP | 96.3 | 54.3 | Johnston +42.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 5 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 8 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | Questionable |
Should I draft Quentin Johnston or Mike Evans in 2026 fantasy football?
Quentin Johnston. He projects 153.5 fantasy points with -19.2 value over replacement, vs 151.5 points and -21.2 for Mike Evans (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.