Quentin Johnston vs Mike Evans
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
Start Mike Evans this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.1 projected points (10.4 vs 8.2).
Mike Evans faces WAS, the 2nd-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Quentin Johnston faces KC, the 28th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Quentin Johnston ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 6, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Quentin Johnston by 0.5 points of value over replacement (-22.3 vs -22.9), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Mike Evans first (ADP 57.9 vs 91.1). If the model is right, Quentin Johnston is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Quentin Johnston carries an injury flag of Questionable (Chest), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Quentin JohnstonLAC | Mike EvansSFO | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | KC | WAS | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 8.2 | 10.4 | Evans +2.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 28) | #28 | #2 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 156.1 | 155.6 | Johnston +0.5 pts |
| Points per game | 9.2 | 9.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -22.3 | -22.9 | Johnston +0.5 |
| Overall rank | #98 | #100 | Johnston by 2 |
| Position rank | WR40 | WR41 | |
| Market ADP | 91.1 | 57.9 | Johnston +33.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 5 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 8 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I start Quentin Johnston or Mike Evans in Week 6?
Start Mike Evans this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.1 projected points (10.4 vs 8.2).
Should I draft Quentin Johnston or Mike Evans in 2026 fantasy football?
Quentin Johnston. He projects 156.1 fantasy points with -22.3 value over replacement, vs 155.6 points and -22.9 for Mike Evans (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.