Stefon Diggs vs Mike Evans
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Mike Evans by 0.9 projected points (10.4 vs 9.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Mike Evans faces WAS, the 2nd-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Stefon Diggs faces NYJ, the 15th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Stefon Diggs ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 6, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Stefon Diggs by 3.7 points of value over replacement (-19.1 vs -22.9), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Mike Evans first (ADP 57.9 vs 96.8). If the model is right, Stefon Diggs is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Stefon Diggs carries an injury flag of Questionable (Hamstring), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Stefon DiggsNWE | Mike EvansSFO | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | NYJ | WAS | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 9.5 | 10.4 | Evans +0.9 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 28) | #15 | #2 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 159.3 | 155.6 | Diggs +3.7 pts |
| Points per game | 9.4 | 9.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -19.1 | -22.9 | Diggs +3.7 |
| Overall rank | #94 | #100 | Diggs by 6 |
| Position rank | WR38 | WR41 | |
| Market ADP | 96.8 | 57.9 | Diggs +38.9 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 5 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 8 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I start Stefon Diggs or Mike Evans in Week 6?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Mike Evans by 0.9 projected points (10.4 vs 9.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Stefon Diggs or Mike Evans in 2026 fantasy football?
Stefon Diggs. He projects 159.3 fantasy points with -19.1 value over replacement, vs 155.6 points and -22.9 for Mike Evans (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.