Mike Evans vs Stefon Diggs
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Mike Evans by 1.4 points of value over replacement (-25.0 vs -26.5), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Mike Evans goes first at ADP 54.5 vs 91.5 for Stefon Diggs.
Health note: Mike Evans carries an injury flag of Questionable (Foot), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Mike EvansSFO | Stefon DiggsNWE | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 155.2 | 153.8 | Evans +1.4 pts |
| Points per game | 9.1 | 9.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -25.0 | -26.5 | Evans +1.4 |
| Overall rank | #105 | #107 | Evans by 2 |
| Position rank | WR40 | WR41 | |
| Market ADP | 54.5 | 91.5 | Diggs +37.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 5 | Rd 8 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I draft Mike Evans or Stefon Diggs in 2026 fantasy football?
Mike Evans. He projects 155.2 fantasy points with -25.0 value over replacement, vs 153.8 points and -26.5 for Stefon Diggs (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.