Luther Burden vs Stefon Diggs
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Luther Burden by 0.4 projected points (9.7 vs 9.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Luther Burden faces PHI, the 15th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Stefon Diggs faces JAX, the 19th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Luther Burden by 4.1 points of value over replacement (-14.2 vs -18.4), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Luther Burden goes first at ADP 50.6 vs 96.8 for Stefon Diggs.
| Luther BurdenCHI | Stefon DiggsNWE | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | PHI | JAX | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 9.7 | 9.3 | Burden +0.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #15 | #19 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 164.2 | 160.1 | Burden +4.1 pts |
| Points per game | 9.7 | 9.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -14.2 | -18.4 | Burden +4.1 |
| Overall rank | #89 | #96 | Burden by 7 |
| Position rank | WR37 | WR39 | |
| Market ADP | 50.6 | 96.8 | Diggs +46.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 5 | Rd 8 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 11 |
Should I start Luther Burden or Stefon Diggs in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Luther Burden by 0.4 projected points (9.7 vs 9.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Luther Burden or Stefon Diggs in 2026 fantasy football?
Luther Burden. He projects 164.2 fantasy points with -14.2 value over replacement, vs 160.1 points and -18.4 for Stefon Diggs (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.