Courtland Sutton vs Stefon Diggs
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Stefon Diggs by 0.9 projected points (10.4 vs 9.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Stefon Diggs faces LV, the 8th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Courtland Sutton faces LAC, the 24th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Courtland Sutton ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 5, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Courtland Sutton by 0.5 points of value over replacement (-9.6 vs -10.1), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Courtland Sutton goes first at ADP 61.6 vs 96.8 for Stefon Diggs.
Health note: Stefon Diggs carries an injury flag of Out (Hamstring), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Courtland SuttonDEN | Stefon DiggsNWE | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | LAC | LV | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 9.5 | 10.4 | Diggs +0.9 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 30) | #24 | #8 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 168.4 | 167.9 | Sutton +0.5 pts |
| Points per game | 9.9 | 9.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -9.6 | -10.1 | Sutton +0.5 |
| Overall rank | #84 | #86 | Sutton by 2 |
| Position rank | WR33 | WR34 | |
| Market ADP | 61.6 | 96.8 | Diggs +35.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 6 | Rd 8 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | None | Out |
Should I start Courtland Sutton or Stefon Diggs in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Stefon Diggs by 0.9 projected points (10.4 vs 9.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Courtland Sutton or Stefon Diggs in 2026 fantasy football?
Courtland Sutton. He projects 168.4 fantasy points with -9.6 value over replacement, vs 167.9 points and -10.1 for Stefon Diggs (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.