D.K. Metcalf vs Stefon Diggs
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans D.K. Metcalf by 0.4 projected points (10.8 vs 10.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
D.K. Metcalf faces IND, the 7th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Stefon Diggs faces LV, the 8th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans D.K. Metcalf by 4.4 points of value over replacement (-5.7 vs -10.1), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: D.K. Metcalf goes first at ADP 63.9 vs 96.8 for Stefon Diggs.
Health note: Stefon Diggs carries an injury flag of Out (Hamstring), which is already reflected in his projection.
| D.K. MetcalfPIT | Stefon DiggsNWE | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | IND | LV | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 10.8 | 10.4 | Metcalf +0.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 30) | #7 | #8 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 172.3 | 167.9 | Metcalf +4.4 pts |
| Points per game | 10.1 | 9.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -5.7 | -10.1 | Metcalf +4.4 |
| Overall rank | #82 | #86 | Metcalf by 4 |
| Position rank | WR31 | WR34 | |
| Market ADP | 63.9 | 96.8 | Diggs +32.9 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 6 | Rd 8 | |
| Bye week | 9 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | None | Out |
Should I start D.K. Metcalf or Stefon Diggs in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans D.K. Metcalf by 0.4 projected points (10.8 vs 10.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft D.K. Metcalf or Stefon Diggs in 2026 fantasy football?
D.K. Metcalf. He projects 172.3 fantasy points with -5.7 value over replacement, vs 167.9 points and -10.1 for Stefon Diggs (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.