Courtland Sutton vs D.K. Metcalf
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
WR29
Courtland Sutton
170.3
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
WR32
D.K. Metcalf
168.0
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Courtland Sutton by 2.3 points of value over replacement (-9.9 vs -12.2), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Courtland Sutton goes first at ADP 60.2 vs 64.4 for D.K. Metcalf.
| Courtland SuttonDEN | D.K. MetcalfPIT | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 170.3 | 168.0 | Sutton +2.3 pts |
| Points per game | 10.0 | 9.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -9.9 | -12.2 | Sutton +2.3 |
| Overall rank | #81 | #88 | Sutton by 7 |
| Position rank | WR29 | WR32 | |
| Market ADP | 60.2 | 64.4 | Metcalf +4.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 5 | Rd 6 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 9 |
Should I draft Courtland Sutton or D.K. Metcalf in 2026 fantasy football?
Courtland Sutton. He projects 170.3 fantasy points with -9.9 value over replacement, vs 168.0 points and -12.2 for D.K. Metcalf (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.