D.K. Metcalf vs Courtland Sutton
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
Start D.K. Metcalf this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.2 projected points (10.8 vs 9.5).
D.K. Metcalf faces IND, the 7th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Courtland Sutton faces LAC, the 24th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans D.K. Metcalf by 3.9 points of value over replacement (-6.2 vs -10.1), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Courtland Sutton first (ADP 61.6 vs 63.9). If the model is right, D.K. Metcalf is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| D.K. MetcalfPIT | Courtland SuttonDEN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | IND | LAC | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 10.8 | 9.5 | Metcalf +1.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 30) | #7 | #24 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 172.3 | 168.4 | Metcalf +3.9 pts |
| Points per game | 10.1 | 9.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -6.2 | -10.1 | Metcalf +3.9 |
| Overall rank | #80 | #83 | Metcalf by 3 |
| Position rank | WR30 | WR33 | |
| Market ADP | 63.9 | 61.6 | Metcalf +2.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 6 | Rd 6 | |
| Bye week | 9 | 10 |
Should I start D.K. Metcalf or Courtland Sutton in Week 5?
Start D.K. Metcalf this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.2 projected points (10.8 vs 9.5).
Should I draft D.K. Metcalf or Courtland Sutton in 2026 fantasy football?
D.K. Metcalf. He projects 172.3 fantasy points with -6.2 value over replacement, vs 168.4 points and -10.1 for Courtland Sutton (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.