Head to head · WR · 2026
Brian Thomas vs Courtland Sutton
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean — refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Brian Thomas
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Brian Thomas by 0.4 points of value over replacement (-4.6 vs -5.0) — close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way — drafters take Courtland Sutton first (ADP 72.8 vs 83.7). If the model is right, Brian Thomas is the value pick: the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Brian Thomas | Courtland Sutton | |
|---|---|---|
| Team | JAX | DEN |
| Overall rank | #80 | #82 |
| Position rank | WR30 | WR32 |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 168.1 | 167.8 |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -4.6 | -5.0 |
| Market ADP | 83.7 | 72.8 |
Should I draft Brian Thomas or Courtland Sutton in 2026 fantasy football?
Brian Thomas. He projects 168.1 fantasy points with -4.6 value over replacement, vs 167.8 points and -5.0 for Courtland Sutton (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.