Head to head · WR · 2026
Brian Thomas vs Michael Wilson
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean — refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Brian Thomas
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Brian Thomas by 0.1 points of value over replacement (-4.6 vs -4.8) — close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way — drafters take Michael Wilson first (ADP 80.4 vs 83.7). If the model is right, Brian Thomas is the value pick: the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Brian Thomas | Michael Wilson | |
|---|---|---|
| Team | JAX | ARI |
| Overall rank | #80 | #81 |
| Position rank | WR30 | WR31 |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 168.1 | 168.0 |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -4.6 | -4.8 |
| Market ADP | 83.7 | 80.4 |
Should I draft Brian Thomas or Michael Wilson in 2026 fantasy football?
Brian Thomas. He projects 168.1 fantasy points with -4.6 value over replacement, vs 168.0 points and -4.8 for Michael Wilson (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.