Brian Thomas vs Michael Wilson
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
WR29
Brian Thomas
168.1
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
WR30
Michael Wilson
168.0
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Brian Thomas by 0.1 points of value over replacement (-4.6 vs -4.8), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Brian Thomas goes first at ADP 72.5 vs 76.0 for Michael Wilson.
| Brian ThomasJAX | Michael WilsonARI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 168.1 | 168.0 | Thomas +0.1 pts |
| Points per game | 9.9 | 9.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -4.6 | -4.8 | Thomas +0.1 |
| Overall rank | #79 | #80 | Thomas by 1 |
| Position rank | WR29 | WR30 | |
| Market ADP | 72.5 | 76.0 | Wilson +3.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 6 | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 14 |
Should I draft Brian Thomas or Michael Wilson in 2026 fantasy football?
Brian Thomas. He projects 168.1 fantasy points with -4.6 value over replacement, vs 168.0 points and -4.8 for Michael Wilson (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.