Rome Odunze vs Michael Wilson
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Rome Odunze by 0.7 projected points (11.2 vs 10.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Rome Odunze faces GB, the 5th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Michael Wilson faces DET, the 20th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Rome Odunze by 1.0 points of value over replacement (-1.3 vs -2.3), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Rome Odunze goes first at ADP 54.4 vs 76.1 for Michael Wilson.
| Rome OdunzeCHI | Michael WilsonARI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | GB | DET | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 11.2 | 10.5 | Odunze +0.7 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 30) | #5 | #20 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 177.1 | 176.1 | Odunze +1.0 pts |
| Points per game | 10.4 | 10.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -1.3 | -2.3 | Odunze +1.0 |
| Overall rank | #74 | #76 | Odunze by 2 |
| Position rank | WR26 | WR27 | |
| Market ADP | 54.4 | 76.1 | Wilson +21.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 5 | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 14 |
Should I start Rome Odunze or Michael Wilson in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Rome Odunze by 0.7 projected points (11.2 vs 10.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Rome Odunze or Michael Wilson in 2026 fantasy football?
Rome Odunze. He projects 177.1 fantasy points with -1.3 value over replacement, vs 176.1 points and -2.3 for Michael Wilson (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.