Brian Thomas vs Marvin Harrison Jr.
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Brian Thomas by 0.2 projected points (10.3 vs 10.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Brian Thomas faces PHI, the 16th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Marvin Harrison Jr. faces DET, the 20th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Brian Thomas by 1.8 points of value over replacement (-6.7 vs -8.5), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Marvin Harrison Jr. first (ADP 66.3 vs 74.9). If the model is right, Brian Thomas is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Brian ThomasJAX | Marvin Harrison Jr.ARI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | PHI | DET | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 10.3 | 10.1 | Thomas +0.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 30) | #16 | #20 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 171.7 | 170.0 | Thomas +1.8 pts |
| Points per game | 10.1 | 10.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -6.7 | -8.5 | Thomas +1.8 |
| Overall rank | #81 | #82 | Thomas by 1 |
| Position rank | WR31 | WR32 | |
| Market ADP | 74.9 | 66.3 | Thomas +8.6 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 6 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 14 |
Should I start Brian Thomas or Marvin Harrison Jr. in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Brian Thomas by 0.2 projected points (10.3 vs 10.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Brian Thomas or Marvin Harrison Jr. in 2026 fantasy football?
Brian Thomas. He projects 171.7 fantasy points with -6.7 value over replacement, vs 170.0 points and -8.5 for Marvin Harrison Jr. (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.