Wan'Dale Robinson vs Luther Burden
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
Start Luther Burden this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.1 projected points (9.7 vs 8.6).
Luther Burden faces PHI, the 15th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Wan'Dale Robinson faces NYG, the 30th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Wan'Dale Robinson ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 3, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Wan'Dale Robinson by 4.5 points of value over replacement (-9.7 vs -14.2), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Luther Burden first (ADP 50.6 vs 86.6). If the model is right, Wan'Dale Robinson is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN | Luther BurdenCHI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | NYG | PHI | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 8.6 | 9.7 | Burden +1.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #30 | #15 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 168.7 | 164.2 | Robinson +4.5 pts |
| Points per game | 9.9 | 9.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -9.7 | -14.2 | Robinson +4.5 |
| Overall rank | #86 | #89 | Robinson by 3 |
| Position rank | WR34 | WR37 | |
| Market ADP | 86.6 | 50.6 | Robinson +36.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 5 | |
| Bye week | 9 | 10 |
Should I start Wan'Dale Robinson or Luther Burden in Week 3?
Start Luther Burden this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.1 projected points (9.7 vs 8.6).
Should I draft Wan'Dale Robinson or Luther Burden in 2026 fantasy football?
Wan'Dale Robinson. He projects 168.7 fantasy points with -9.7 value over replacement, vs 164.2 points and -14.2 for Luther Burden (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.