Marvin Harrison Jr. vs Luther Burden
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Marvin Harrison Jr. by 0.9 projected points (10.2 vs 9.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Marvin Harrison Jr. faces NYG, the 12th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Luther Burden faces NYJ, the 21st-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Marvin Harrison Jr.: a clear but modest edge of 5.7 points of value over replacement (-10.4 vs -16.1).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Luther Burden first (ADP 50.6 vs 66.3). If the model is right, Marvin Harrison Jr. is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Marvin Harrison Jr.ARI | Luther BurdenCHI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | NYG | NYJ | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 10.2 | 9.2 | Jr. +0.9 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #12 | #21 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 170.0 | 164.2 | Jr. +5.7 pts |
| Points per game | 10.0 | 9.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -10.4 | -16.1 | Jr. +5.7 |
| Overall rank | #83 | #90 | Jr. by 7 |
| Position rank | WR33 | WR36 | |
| Market ADP | 66.3 | 50.6 | Jr. +15.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 6 | Rd 5 | |
| Bye week | 14 | 10 |
Should I start Marvin Harrison Jr. or Luther Burden in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Marvin Harrison Jr. by 0.9 projected points (10.2 vs 9.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Marvin Harrison Jr. or Luther Burden in 2026 fantasy football?
Marvin Harrison Jr.. He projects 170.0 fantasy points with -10.4 value over replacement, vs 164.2 points and -16.1 for Luther Burden (WR, PPR).