Terry McLaurin vs Stefon Diggs
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Stefon Diggs by 0.1 projected points (9.3 vs 9.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Stefon Diggs faces JAX, the 19th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Terry McLaurin faces SEA, the 25th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Terry McLaurin ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 3, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Terry McLaurin: a clear but modest edge of 7.4 points of value over replacement (-10.9 vs -18.4).
The draft market agrees: Terry McLaurin goes first at ADP 48.1 vs 96.8 for Stefon Diggs.
| Terry McLaurinWAS | Stefon DiggsNWE | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | SEA | JAX | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 9.2 | 9.3 | Diggs +0.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #25 | #19 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 167.5 | 160.1 | McLaurin +7.4 pts |
| Points per game | 9.9 | 9.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -10.9 | -18.4 | McLaurin +7.4 |
| Overall rank | #88 | #96 | McLaurin by 8 |
| Position rank | WR36 | WR39 | |
| Market ADP | 48.1 | 96.8 | Diggs +48.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 4 | Rd 8 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 11 |
Should I start Terry McLaurin or Stefon Diggs in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Stefon Diggs by 0.1 projected points (9.3 vs 9.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Terry McLaurin or Stefon Diggs in 2026 fantasy football?
Terry McLaurin. He projects 167.5 fantasy points with -10.9 value over replacement, vs 160.1 points and -18.4 for Stefon Diggs (WR, PPR).